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Waluty: Currency market commentary

24.06.2009 11:05 środa
EURUSD
Rise to 1,4100 yesterday has showed that the market is ready for another wave of gains. Right now correction to 1,4060 would be a good point to open long positions. Take profit order should be set at 1,4140 which is currently seen as a resistance. Breach of this level will initiate gains towards 1,4240 where short pause is expected. Above that our destination target is seen at 1,4320. This scenario won't be questionable, unless the pair falls below 1,3990 – strong psychological support. In case it is broken falls may reach even 1,3800.

GBPUSD
The pair has bounced off 1,6220 once again. Right now retreat to 1,6420 should be used to go long with target set at 1,6550. The level of 1,6660 is a significant resistance level, however in case it is broken we expect gains to 1,6950 or even further upwards above 1,70. We suggest staying cautious if the pair pulls back to 1,6220.
Below this level falls to 1,58 are highly probable. Over there long mid-term positions would be recommended.

USDCHF
Technically rise to 1,0740 would be a good moment to open short positions with destination target 1,0660. However, there is a risk of the Swiss National Bank intervention due to the strong franc, so we suggest staying extremely cautious around 1,0580. This intervention would bring the pair as high as 1,0980 in the 2 or 3 following days, so this risk should be taken into consideration.

USDJPY
The level of 95,50 seen as a good point to open short positions with target set at 94,40. Mid-term target for this pair we assess for 91,00.

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